Thursday, September 13, 2012

ITM CUP RD 6

Preview: Bay of Plenty v Auckland

Sportal.co.nz - (13/09/2012) - comments 0 Comments
Bay of Plenty has often found it hard against Auckland, but if the Steamers are going to do anything in this year's Premiership they need to find a way past an Auckland side that is playing above pre-season forecasts.

VENUE & TIME: Rotorua International Stadium, Friday September 14 @ 1805


Pass It On
HEAD TO HEAD: Played 58; Bay of Plenty 11, Auckland 47.

LAST TIME: August 20, 2011 (Auckland) - Auckland 25-16 Bay of Plenty.

WALKING WOUNDED: Lelia Masaga and Carl Axtens were injury concerns for Kevin Schuler after Wednesday's game, since both suffered knee injuries although they were given as long as possible to come right before the team was named. Masaga made the cut, but Axtens did not. The backline has been rearranged and Phil Burleigh moves into the troublesome first-five spot while Nick McCashin goes to fullback and Kendrick Lynn to centre. Wayne Pivac has named an unchanged run-on XV and his main worry was on the bench, since Joe Edwards has already played the two games he's allowed to as an 18-year-old and Auckland is hoping he'll be cleared to go round a few more times.

FORM:
Bay of Plenty:
Round 1: lost to Taranaki 22-37 (h)
Round 2: beat Otago 31-19 (h)
Round 3: lost to Counties-Manukau 13-47 (a)
Round 4: lost to Waikato 6-15 (a)

Auckland:
Round 1: beat Hawke's Bay 36-29 (a)
Round 2: lost to Canterbury 11-33 (a)
Round 3: beat Manawatu 59-16 (h)
Round 4: beat Waikato 32-22 (h)

Bay of Plenty lost again midweek, but this was a much better performance than the insipid showing against Counties. The forwards dominated for long periods and did a lot of good work at the breakdown, but scoring again proved difficult. The backs made occasional forays but handling was an issue in the tricky conditions and the goal-kicking (three from nine in the last two matches) simply must improve. Time is running out if the Steamers are going to challenge the top four in 2012.

Auckland played a lot of the game without the ball and in its own half against Waikato, but whenever the backs got ball and a modicum of space together they looked dangerous. Four tries were scored - including a couple of really good team efforts - and the team's third win in four starts was well earned. A few too many penalties were given away at the breakdown, but overall the coaching staff will have a lot to be pleased with as Auckland continues its run at the four.

WHO'S HOT: Bay of Plenty's current standout players are old hands and all can be found in the pack; Calum Retallick, Luke Braid and Tanerau Latimer are giving their colleagues several free lessons in what it takes to play at this level and how it is necessary that a player fronts up every time. Retallick is a lineout force, busy around the park and a key man in many of the breakdown turnovers the Steamers are forcing, while Latimer and Braid both only know one way to play - hard and uncompromising in everything they do. The backline has spluttered along so far, and it's time and past time that they got it sorted and made better use of the ball they're being provided with.

Auckland flanker Steve Luatua is getting some good press these days, with many tipping a big future for him. It's easy to see why, since he has size, speed and increasingly sure ball skills. Whether in the lineout or the loose, he's a bloke who makes an impact. Rookie centre Malakai Fekitoa is looking very good, proving a hard man to stop when he has the ball and a good distributor when it needs to go wider. His defence also gets a tick, so he's going nicely. George Moala is now starting to find his feet at this level and those feet are taking him past anything short of the most resolute defence. He's a danger down the wing and just one of a number of Auckland backs that the Bay needs to contain.

WE THINK: The Steamers may have given an improved showing at Hamilton, but they still came up short in several areas. Not least of them was the inability to score points, which is not a problem Auckland is having at present. In fact, Auckland has scored more points than any other team in the ITM Cup and it's likely they'll find enough on Friday to take another four competition points home.

TEAMS:
Bay of Plenty: 1. Greg Pleasants-Tate, 2. Daniel Perrin, 3. Josh Hohneck, 4. Culum Retallick, 5. Leon Power, 6. Dan Goodwin, 7. Tanerau Latimer (capt), 8. Luke Braid, 9. Josh Hall, 10. Phil Burleigh, 11. Jack Wilson, 12. Mafi Kefu, 13. Kendrick Lynn, 14. Lelia Masaga, 15. Nick McCashin.

Reserves: 16. John Pareanga, 17. Mike Kainga, 18. Keepa Mewett, 19. Jesse Acton, 20. Lewis Hancock, 21. Simon Rolleston, 22. Lance MacDonald.

Auckland: 1. Pauliasi Manu, 2. Tom McCartney, 3. Ofa Tu'ungafasi, 4. Sean Brookman, 5. Liaki Moli, 6. Steve Luatua, 7. Sean Polwart, 8. Peter Saili, 9. Alby Mathewson, 10. Gareth Anscombe, 11. George Moala, 12. Hadleigh Parkes (capt), 13. Malakai Fekitoa, 14. Ben Lam, 15.Charles Piutau.

Reserves: 16. Nathan Vella, 17. Angus Ta'avao, 18. Nathan Hughes, 19. Joe Edwards, 20. Auvasa Faleali'i, 21. Tony Fenner, 22. Dave Thomas.

Petes prediction
The above is right on the money. Maybe the issue is that the Steamers are just too long in the tooth.
Its their strongest team, and, quite frankly, a team that should be winning.
I was going to pick Auckland by 3. But just like a gambler chasing losses I am going for the Steamers.
They're at home so one would hope they don't need to look even bigger fools. If they fail tonight then they need to get rid of the coach.
Steamers by 3.
Well they did not fail and slaughtered Auckland in an impressive display of all around rugby.
37-16 to BOP




Preview: Counties Manukau v Otago

Sportal.co.nz - (13/09/2012) - comments 0 Comments
Counties-Manukau and Otago have a history of producing interesting games - and the winner is often not the side you'd pick on form going in. Since both sides are in reasonable shape already, we should be in for an entertaining game on Friday.


Pass It On
VENUE & TIME: Ecolight Stadium, Pukekohe, Friday September 14 @ 2005

HEAD TO HEAD: Played 33; Counties-Manukau 15, Otago 18.

LAST TIME: August 3, 2011 (Dunedin) - Otago 30-14 Counties-Manukau.

WALKING WOUNDED: Several changes have been made to the Counties side, with Fritz Lee (wrist) and Ronald Raaymakers both ruled out by injury. Jamie Chipman gets his first game after a lengthy layoff and Tim Nanai-Williams also returns to the run-on XV, while there has been some shuffling in the pack and a few moves between starting team and bench. Phil Young named an almost unchanged side for this game, with the only alteration being Sam Anderson-Heather's return at hooker. Liam Coltman, who started against Southland, goes to the bench. Against Bay of Plenty Otago named a similar bench, with two hookers and no regular prop, and by the end the scrums were the old lean-in, depowered jobs even though there were three designated front-row forwards on the field. If that happens again, Counties will have fair reason to yowl.

FORM:
Counties-Manukau:
Round 1: beat Southland 30-9 (h)
Round 2: lost to Hawke's Bay 30-37 (a)
Round 3: beat North Harbour 27-15 (a)
Round 4: beat Bay of Plenty 47-13 (h)

Otago:
Round 1: beat Northland 46-34 (h)
Round 2: lost to Bay of Plenty 19-31 (a)
Round 3: beat Southland 15-10 (a)

Counties-Manukau has emerged as the class of the Championship section, especially after giving Premiership team Bay of Plenty a real hiding last Friday. The Steelers repeatedly tore the defence open and this time they nailed almost every scoring chance; five tries and nine from ten off the tee meant the score was always ticking over. It was hard to find fault with Counties' performance and it was also a clear warning to everyone else that these guys are for real in 2012.

Otago played a smart game against Southland in horrible conditions, preferring to play in the opposition half even if that meant kicking the ball away. It still took some outstanding defence to prevent Southland scoring a couple of times, but Otago forced enough penalty chances for its kickers to get the job done with a combined five from seven effort. So far Otago has been ticking along nicely and they're well placed to make a top four run, but this match promises to be tough.

WHO'S HOT: Tana Umaga is almost spoiled for hot hands at present, since everyone he sends onto the pitch is playing well. Adam Cathcart has been getting a few mentions lately, but that's because he's playing outstanding footy. He's good on attack and a real brute on defence, while he gets around the field at high speed and makes a lot of play. Sherwin Stowers was dynamic running into the line from fullback last week, but don't expect him to have a holiday on the wing - he'll still be every bit as dangerous from there. If Otago can't contain him, they're in bother. Even if the defence does hold close to the ruck, there are still big, strong runners like Reynold Lee-Lo out in midfield to worry about. Lee-Lo is quickly becoming one of the more threatening centres going around, with his size, speed and eye for a gap; no doubt a few eyes will be on him this weekend.

Lee Allen made an impressive debut for Otago at Invercargill, where he did a lot of good work in demanding conditions. His standout play was a superb tackle on the line that prevented a try, but he could be pleased with everything he accomplished in that game. Tom Franklin is another young player who is developing into a good forward; his tight work is reliable while he gets around the park and does a lot of hard work in the dark places where noses tend to get bashed. He has made good progress this season. Glenn Dickson has a big job on Friday, since he has to organise the backline defence and stop the dangerous Counties midfield from getting any way on. Dickson has been around for a while now and is a good, solid player at this level, so his less experienced colleagues will be keyed into his lead.

WE THINK: Despite Otago's good early form, it's hard to go past Counties in this one. The Steelers have been playing with a lot of confidence, their forward work is good and the backs have shown an ability to cut defences up. Otago has been honest in all areas and, in Hayden Parker, possess a very good goal-kicker, but they'll need to turn in their best game of the season here. We'll call it for Counties, and they should be comfortable in the end.

TEAMS:
Counties-Manukau: 1. Simon Lemalu, 2. Suliasi Taufalele, 3. Matt Talaese, 4. Jamie Chipman, 5. Daniel Adongo, 6. Jimmy Tupou, 7. Mark Selwyn, 8. Adam Cathcart, 9. David Bason, 10. Baden Kerr, 11. Sherwin Stowers, 12. Bundee Aki, 13. Reynold Lee-Lo, 14. Frank Halai, 15. Tim Nanai-Williams.

Reserves: 16. Mark Price, 17. Maka Tatafu, 18. Sikeli Nabou, 19. Ma'ama Vaipulu, 20. August Pulu, 21. Ray Laulala, 22. Tony Pulu.

Otago: 1. Scott Manson, 2. Sam Anderson-Heather, 3. Tama Tuirirangi, 4. Tom Franklin, 5. Rob Verbakel, 6. TJ Ioane, 7. Lee Allen, 8. Paul Grant (capt), 9. Fumiaki Tanaka, 10. Hayden Parker, 11. Buxton Popoali'i, 12. Glenn Dickson, 13. Jayden Spence, 14. Marshall Suckling, 15. Tony Ensor.

Reserves: 16. Shota Horie, 17. Liam Coltman, 18. Adam Hill, 19. Gareth Evans, 20. Brad Weber, 21. Peter Breen, 22. Michael Collins.

REFEREE: Akihisa Aso (Japan)
Another bang on assessment.
I should know as I backed against both teams on their last outing. Counties are playing a full 80 mins and will pull away in the last 20 mins
Counties by 15
Game over.
Counties were the team that ran for the full 80 mins and pulled away to win 43-12
HT was only 13-12.

Preview: Taranaki v Canterbury

Sportal.co.nz - (14/09/2012) - comments 2 Comments
As two of the better-performed Ranfurly Shield teams, Taranaki and Canterbury have often squared off against one another down the years and those matches are always tough. That won't change, but Canterbury will be looking to make one alteration to the script – the Shield has never changed hands yet when this pair have met.


Pass It On
VENUE & TIME: Yarrow Stadium, New Plymouth, Saturday September 15 @ 1435

HEAD TO HEAD: Played 58; Taranaki 14, Canterbury 42, drawn 2.

LAST TIME: August 20, 2011 (Addington) – Canterbury 27-0 Taranaki.

WALKING WOUNDED: The talking point in the Taranaki side was the relegation of Jason Eaton to the bench, although Taranaki are one of the few teams that could contemplate such a move as they have three high-class locks in the squad. Frazier Climo returns to the side after missing the Hawke's Bay match with a minor strain. Corey Flynn lasted five minutes in his first game last week before tearing a calf muscle; the injury is likely to put him on the bank for at least a month. Ryan Crotty was cleared of concussion symptoms and will play, while centre partner Robbie Fruean battled illness through the week but both were fit to play. Johnny McNicholl (quad) has been replaced on the wing by Patrick Osborne and Andy Ellis takes over at halfback from Willi Heinz.

FORM:
Taranaki:
Round 1: beat Bay of Plenty 37-22 (a)
Round 2: beat Tasman 49-40 (h, RS)
Round 3: beat Hawke's Bay 22-6 (h, RS)

Canterbury:
Round 1: lost to Tasman 22-25 (a)
Round 2: beat Auckland 33-11 (h)
Round 3: beat North Harbour 36-3 (h)
Round 4: beat Wellington 20-12 (h)

Taranaki had to battle hard into the elements against Hawke's Bay, so turning at 0-0 represented a major achievement. It only took a few seconds after the break before Taranaki scored, but a lot longer before they put the game away. That was achieved through unrelenting pressure, a sensible tactical approach and limiting unforced errors to a minimum in conditions that were never easy. The final score was a fair reflection of how Taranaki managed to overcome some tough obstacles.

Canterbury also had to work hard against Wellington, but an outstanding defensive display – led by some fine loose forward work – always had the red-and-blacks in front despite Wellington having more ball and superior field position. In its two previous wins Canterbury had dominated the games from early; this time they had to do it the hard way. It was a good win against a tough opponent, and one that will have a few teams around the place wondering how you beat this Canterbury team.

WHO'S HOT: Scott Waldrom completed his first match for a year against Hawke's Bay, and he couldn't have finished more strongly. As well as the clinching try, Waldrom was responsible for a lot of the ever-increasing pressure Taranaki piled onto the Bay and his all-round game was first-class. James Broadhurst also made a big contribution when he came on, clattering about the field and doing his tight work well. The big man always made the defence work, and provided some impressive go-forward. It may not have been a night for the backs but Jayden Hayward proved, once again, that he's the steady man of this Taranaki back division. He used the ball and space cleverly, while his try was well taken and exactly the right play for the conditions. His battle with Ryan Crotty this weekend will be well worth keeping an eye on.

The Canterbury loose trio was outstanding against Wellington, with all three playing right to the top of their games. Matt Todd was the Ranger (but never a lone one), getting around the park to stifle Wellington's attacks and pinch a fair bit of ball while he was about it; George Whitelock was Mr Fixit, doing whatever he had to on either side of the ball and Nasi Manu was the Power Guy, carting the ball up strongly and testing Wellington's resolve in the trenches. As an example of how to work as a unit, this took some beating. Reserve wing Telusa Veainu, who we know is a good finisher, took advantage of his time on the field to collect two tries – one of which was an outstanding team try and it was also the score that made the game safe. He might not have played much this year but on that showing Taranaki has to be ready for him, as he's sure to be ready to go straight away.

WE THINK: Canterbury is a slight favourite at the TAB and, with their experience and big-game familiarity, it's easy enough to see why. But Taranaki can't be dismissed lightly; in fact, this game will have been circled on every Taranaki calendar since the day the draw was announced. It will be the biggest match of the year and if the holders aren't up for it, they'll never be ready again. It's a really tight call, but Taranaki showed enough last game to get the nod – any margin will do.

TEAMS:
Taranaki: 1. Chris King, 2. Timo Tutavaha, 3. Michael Bent, 4. Craig Clarke (capt), 5. James Broadhurst, 6. Jarrad Hoeata, 7. Scott Waldrom, 8. Blade Thomson, 9. Chris Smylie, 10. James Marshall, 11. Frazier Climo, 12. Jayden Hayward, 13. Willie Rickards, 14. Waisake Naholo, 15. Kurt Baker.

Reserves: 16. Sione Lea, 17. Carl Carmichael, 18. Jason Eaton, 19. Chris Walker, 20. Brett Goodin, 21. Jack Cameron, 22. Jackson Ormond.

Canterbury: 1. Joe Moody, 2. Ben Funnell, 3. Nepo Laulala, 4.Luke Katene, 5. Dominic Bird, 6. George Whitelock (capt), 7. Matt Todd, 8. Nasi Manu, 9. Andy Ellis, 10. Tyler Bleyendaal, 11. Patrick Osborne, 12. Ryan Crotty, 13. Robbie Fruean, 14. Adam Whitelock, 15. Tom Taylor.

Reserves: 16. Codie Taylor, 17. Paea Fa'anunu, 18. Joel Everson, 19. Luke Whitelock, 20. Willi Heinz, 21. Telusa Veainu, 22. Sam Monaghan.
The article writer might be correct but I am a canterbury fan. They always seem to be fitter than other teams which shows itself by the speed and numbers they always get to the breakdowns.
What a great set of backs as well. weather won't be bad, so expect canterbury to throw the ball around.
Canterbury by 5 only because the Naki will fight to the death to retain ranfurly Shield, and the added gate money it always brings.

Preview: Wellington v Waikato

Sportal.co.nz - (14/09/2012) - comments 0 Comments
Wellington and Waikato often play high-scoring, entertaining games that keep fans interested to the last. The only tricky bit can be picking a winner, since the side the formbook suggests will take it easily often comes second.

Pass It On
VENUE & TIME: Westpac Stadium, Wellington, Saturday September 15 @ 1635

HEAD TO HEAD: Played 65; Wellington 34, Waikato 30, drawn 1.

LAST TIME: August 23, 2011 (Hamilton)-Waikato 31-27 Wellington.

WALKING WOUNDED: Lima Sopoaga is finally set to return to top-level rugby after a long injury layoff, although he'll start from the bench. There is a straight swap in the front row, but the Lions have resisted making too many changes. Waikato has made several, although the injury news is generally good and Alex Bradley and Jackson Willison are back after missing the Bay of Plenty match. To counter that niggly problems have ruled Zack Hohneck and Declan O'Donnell out.

FORM:
Wellington:
Round 1: beat Manawatu 30-11 (a)
Round 2: beat Hawke's Bay 30-15 (h)
Round 3: beat Southland 40-8 (h)
Round 4: lost to Canterbury 12-20 (a)

Waikato:
Round 1: beat North Harbour 42-22 (a)
Round 2: lost to Northland 27-29 (h)
Round 3: lost to Auckland 22-32 (a)
Round 4: beat Bay of Plenty 15-6 (h)

Wellington's winning run came to an end at Addington last week, when the Canterbury defence proved too tough a nut to crack. Wellington had a ton of ball, much of it in good field position, but lost too much at breakdowns to ever get on a real roll and gaps were scarce. Wellington will still have learned a lot and the defeat was by no means a shocker, but it was simply a reminder of the difference between one of the really big teams and the lesser ones this year.

Waikato got back on a winning track midweek, grinding out an ugly but effective tryless victory over Bay of Plenty. Unlike the Auckland match, when the Waikato forwards dominated territory and possession, the midweeker saw Waikato playing a lot of defensive rugby in its own end. They tackled very well and left no holes for the Steamers, while Trent Renata took enough chances off the tee for the Mooloos to claim the four points and stay in touch with the leading group.

WHO'S HOT: One of the most interesting battles this week will be in the loose, where both teams have had their issues in recent games. Scott Fuglistaller was quoted midweek as saying he learned a lesson last Saturday, when Canterbury was highly effective, and will no doubt be wanting to show the lesson was well learned. Ardie Savea has looked really good going forward and he does work in the trenches, but it's all a step up from anything he's played before. There's a ton of talent in the young man, and he will learn things pretty quickly from some of the tough customers he'll meet this season. Tim Bateman stays at first-five and he will be among the more threatening players that

Waikato: 15 Trent Renata, 14 Tim Mikkelson, 13 Save Tokula, 12 Sam Christie, 11 Glen Robertson, 10 Piers Francis, 9 Tawera Kerr-Barlow, 8 Alex Bradley (capt), 7 Jono Armstrong, 6 Matt Vant Leven, 5 Sam Kilgour, 4 Chris Middleton, 3 Ben May, 2 Marcel Cummings-Toone, 1 Toby Smith.
Replacements: 16 Vance Elliott, 17 Ted Tauroa, 18 Anthony Wise, 19 Rory Grice, 20 Brendon Leonard, 21 Jackson Willison, 22 Joe Webber.
Date: Saturday, September 15
Kick-off: 16:35 (05:35 BST, 04:35 GMT)
Venue: Westpac Stadium
Referee: Nick Briant
Assistant referees: tba
Television match official: David Walsh
Reviewer: Neville McAlister

The Ricoh Wellington Lions team is as follows:
1.       Eric Sione Northern United
2.       Dane Coles Poneke
3.       Jeff Toomaga-Allen Marist St Pats
4.       Jeremy Thrush (c) Hutt Old Boys Marist
5.       Mark Reddish Oriental-Rongotai
6.       Lua Lokotui Marist St Pats
7.       Scott Fuglistaller Wests Roosters
8.       Ardie Savea Oriental-Rongotai
9.       Frae Wilson Wainuiomata
10.   Tim Bateman Old Boys University
11.   Matt Proctor Oriental-Rongotai
12.   Shaun Treeby Tawa
13.   Charlie Ngatai Poneke
14.   Alapati Leiua Norths
15.   Jason Woodward Upper Hutt
Reserves
16.   Motu Matu'u Oriental-Rongotai
17.   Solomona Sakalia Marist St Pats
18.   Kaipati Gaualofa Tawa
19.   Genesis Mamea Wainuiomata
20.   Kayne Hammington Upper Hutt
21.   Lima Sopoaga Old Boys University
22.   Ambrose Curtis Oriental-Rongotai

Petes prediction
Wellington at home for sure, but not by much.
Waikato have good backs and I haven't seen any reports of bad weather, so if they can get any ball from forwards they have a chance. However I like LIons forwards and they should control the game. 
wellington by 9

Preview: Tasman v Northland

Sportal.co.nz - (15/09/2012) - comments 0 Comments
Two teams that are both capable of playing exciting attacking rugby should give the Blenheim faithful an entertaining Sunday match - and the winner will do their playoff chances no harm at all.

Pass It On
VENUE & TIME: Lansdowne Park, Blenheim, Sunday September 16 @ 1435

HEAD TO HEAD: Played 6; Tasman 4, Northland 2.

LAST TIME: July 16, 2011 (Whangarei) - Northland 19-9 Tasman.

WALKING WOUNDED: Kieran Keane didn't mess with his lineup, even though Tasman only got home narrowly against Southland. Bryce Heem returns to the wing after his injury break, while Tom Marshall's name appears in the 22 for the first time this season following a long lay-off. Only two Northland forwards - Bryce Williams and Cam Goodhue - are starting in the same number as last week after Adriaan Ferris did not so much shake his lineup as detonate a bomb inside it. He wasn't quite so brutal in the backs - three of them get to keep their jerseys. The only two players who were replaced due to injury were Dan Pryor and Rhyan Caine, although neither is seriously damaged.

FORM:
Tasman:
Round 1: beat Canterbury 25-22 (h)
Round 2: lost to Taranaki 40-49 (a, RS)
Round 3: beat Manawatu 27-3 (a)
Round 4: beat Southland 13-10 (h)

Northland:
Round 1: lost to Otago 34-46 (a)
Round 2: beat Waikato 29-27 (a)
Round 3: lost to Manawatu 20-33 (h)
Round 4: beat North Harbour 18-17 (h)

Tasman made too many errors for its game against Southland to enter the Makos hall of fame, but when it really mattered they got the job done. Two brilliant individual tries, by Peter Betham and Robbie Malneek, highlighted a performance where Tasman looked the better side but just could not finish chances. That said, there was still plenty to enjoy and when these blokes get going they're a team anyone has to be wary of.

Northland can thank Ash Moeke and his deadly right boot for its four points against North Harbour, since the side seldom looked like scoring any other way. Errors and inaccuracy killed some promising chances, but Moeke landed six from six off the tee and his match-winner, from a wide angle and with time running out, showed the sort of form he's in. Northland's performance was a big step up from the Manawatu game, but there's still plenty of room for improvement.

WHO'S HOT: Among many well-performed Tasman forwards, No 8 Jordan Taufua is starting to stand out. There are few more direct ball-carriers in the competition - there's none of this running towards the line and hopping up in the air for this guy, he just runs harder as he gets to the tackler - and he does a lot of damage. He's also good on defence and is one of Tasman's key men. Halfback Jeremy Su'a is another, with his quick clearance and alert option-taking. If any side stops watching him for a second, they're likely to pay. Peter Betham scored one of the best individual tries of the season against Southland, and it was the sort of score only a classy operator could fashion. He was always a midfield threat when he left his wing and any team wanting to negate his influence had better be resolute on the tackle.

Northland managed to win against North Harbour despite losing most of the stats; the two areas where things did go right were the lineout and the breakdown. Bryce Williams can always be relied on at lineout time; he's a big man who commands space and has a knack of getting to the ball. Any team needs a reliable set piece, and Northland can always go back to this area when the pressure is on. The loose forwards are central to Northland's desire to play the territory game - which they generally do well - and veteran Hale T-Pole is influential if often unseen. He'll always be in there looking after his No 7, taking the hits and doing the hard yards. Last week Ash Moeke kicked Northland to victory with his six penalty goals, and his influence is growing by the week. He is quickly becoming a player other sides need to guard against, especially if things are getting tight.

WE THINK: Tasman might not have turned in their best effort during the week, but they still won. The Makos also showed that if a few little things had been done more accurately, they could have broken the game open. Northland had to dig deep to win and may be a little fortunate to have done so but a win is a win, especially for a team under pressure. We think Tasman should be good enough in this game and, if they get it right, could win with a bit in hand.

TEAMS:
Tasman: 1. Tim Perry, 2. Quentin MacDonald, 3. Campbell Johnstone, 4. Filipo Levi, 5. Joe Wheeler, 6. Gary Redmond, 7. Shane Christie, 8. Jordan Taufua, 9. Jeremy Su'a, 10. Hayden Cripps, 11. Bryce Heem, 12. Andrew Goodman (capt), 13. Kieron Fonotia, 14. Peter Betham, 15. Robbie Malneek.

Reserves: 16. Francis Smith, 17. Sam Prattley, 18. Riki Hoeata, 19. Vernon Fredricks, 20. Steve Alfeld, 21. Albert Nikoro, 22. Tom Marshall.


Northland: 1. Peni Kaufusi, 2. Ross Wright, 3. Scott Vessey, 4. Daniel Faleafa, 5. Bryce Williams (capt), 6. Hale T-Pole, 7. Jack Ram, 8. Cam Goodhue, 9. Samisoni Fisilau, 10. Ash Moeke, 11. Mateo Malupo, 12. Derek Carpenter, 13. Rene Ranger, 14. Matt Wright, 15. Fa'atoina Autagavaia.

Reserves: 16. Tone Kopelani, 17. Justin Davies, 18. William Whetton, 19. Dan Pryor or Jack Whetton, 20. Tane Takalua, 21. Orene Ai'i, 22. Tau Fa'asisila.

REFEREE: Mike Fraser

Writer is correct. Northland sucked against Harbour yet still won.
Tasman should win by 10  There will be light rain otherwise I would say 15.


Preview: Southland v Hawke's Bay

Sportal.co.nz - (15/09/2012) - comments 0 Comments
With both teams sitting near the bottom of their respective divisions, this is a game that both simply must have. It can't happen that way, of course, so the winner will make ground while the loser starts reaching for that dreaded wooden spoon.

Pass It On
VENUE & TIME: Rugby Park, Invercargill, Sunday September 16 @ 1635

HEAD TO HEAD: Played 48; Southland 27, Hawke's Bay 20, drawn 1.

LAST TIME: July 19, 2011 (Napier) - Hawke's Bay 29-18 Southland.

WALKING WOUNDED: Southland will be pleased that Tim Boys and Matt Saunders are both available after missing a couple of matches, while Alex Taylor will sit this one out after damaging an elbow against Tasman. The backline has been almost completely rearranged after the Tasman game, but the pack has a tried and true look to it. Hawke's Bay has made some changes, although most of the replaced players are now on the bench. Zac Guildford is still not available and Hika Elliot is in the reserves, while the three-quarter line has been rejigged and Andrew Horrell will start at fullback.

FORM:
Southland:
Round 1: lost to Counties 9-30 (a)
Round 2: lost to Wellington 8-40 (a)
Round 3: lost to Otago 10-15 (h)
Round 4: lost to Tasman 10-13 (a)

Hawke's Bay:
Round 1: lost to Auckland 29-36 (h)
Round 2: lost to Wellington 15-30 (a)
Round 3: beat Counties-Manukau 37-30 (h)
Round 4: lost to Taranaki 6-22 (a, RS)

Southland had plenty of the game at Blenheim but once again struggled to score points. They managed one try but the goal-kicking - on a night when the Makos left the door wide open by missing six of seven shots at goal - struggled again. Southland did look good in patches and often threatened, but little mistakes at the worst possible time often killed promising situations. If nothing else, the defence is now keeping the Stags in games - they now have to find enough points to win.

Hawke's Bay had a chance to grab the Shield match by the throat when they had first use of the conditions, but scoring proved impossible and the teams turned 0-0. Although the Magpies got in front midway through the second spell it was clear Taranaki was turning the screw up front and the late scoring burst by the holders was no surprise. Hawke's Bay will be getting sick of reviewing games it could have won; it needs to find ways of closing winning chances out.

WHO'S HOT: There's some confusion about exactly how many games Jimmy Cowan has played for Southland, as there was about Jason Rutledge a couple of weeks ago; the Southland union is advertising this match as Cowan's 100th but their figures are one ahead of those in the Rugby Almanack. According to the Almanack this is Cowan's 99th (and that includes the pre-season Otago match); the conflict appears to be over a game with the Brumbies a couple of years back, which has not been accorded first-class status. Here's hoping Cowan gets an undisputed century, because he's a guy who deserves it. He's put in for years and really wants the ton, which is a relatively rare feat among Southland players. Matt Saunders is nearing a century of his own - 100 championship appearances for all teams - and his vast experience and steady play will mean a lot in the backline. Up front Scott McKee has looked the part in his two matches; straight off the farm and concerned about lambing, he has also been the personification of the hard-working loosies of the past. He's going well, and has stepped up to this level easily.

Hawke's Bay's Shield match almost seems like last season, even if it was only nine days ago, so the Magpies have had plenty of time to regroup. They'll want a big performance from the forwards, where Ross Kennedy is always an important figure. He's been around for ages and knows most of the tricks - nobody ever knows them all - while his aerial work and rugged approach to general play will be decided assets. The loose forwards are a good match, so Karl Lowe will know he has to be at his best. He is a constructive disruptor, if that makes sense - constructive for his own side while disrupting the opposition. Moving Andrew Horrell to fullback looks a good move; he played well there for the Chiefs and can influence the game more easily when he has a little more freedom. If you're seeing a bit of him on attack, the Bay is probably travelling well.

WE THINK: Southland is never easy to beat at home, and Hawke's Bay have suffered in Invercargill down the years. If the Magpies are going to get one back, though, 2012 might well be the year. The visitors should be able to tick the board over - Daniel Waenga is in good kicking form - while they also defend well. Southland has a great deal to play for but need to find ways to break this losing skid; we think that an equally desperate Hawke's Bay will be slightly better on the day.

TEAMS:
Southland: 1. Jamie Mackintosh (capt), 2. Jason Rutledge, 3. Nick Barrett, 4. Josh Bekhuis, 5. Michael Fatialofa, 6. Scott McKee, 7. Tim Boys, 8. Elliot Dixon, 9. Jimmy Cowan, 10. Scott Eade, 11. Tim Cornforth, 12. Matt Saunders, 13. Nathan Hohaia, 14. Kade Poki or Marty McKenzie, 15. Robbie Robinson.

Reserves: 16. Talemaitoga Taupati, 17. Raimona Tuki, 18. Alex Ryan, 19. Hoani MacDonald, 20. Nemia Kenatale, 21. Cardiff Vaega, 22. McKenzie or Mark Wells.


Hawke's Bay: 1. Adrian Barone, 2. Ash Dixon, 3. Ben Tameifuna, 4. Ross Kennedy, 5. Johan Schoonbee, 6. Trent Boswell-Wakefield, 7. Karl Lowe, 8. Mike Coman (capt), 9. Chris Eaton, 10. Daniel Waenga, 11. Gillies Kaka, 12. Tua Saseve, 13. Marvin Karawana, 14. Tino Nemani, 15. Andrew Horrell.

Reserves: 16. Hika Elliot, 17. Peter Borlase, 18. Kieran Coll, 19. Tevita Fomai, 20. Isaac Paewai, 21. Ihaia West, 22. Nick McLennan.
 
Who the hell really knows?
I'll back up the bookies and go for Stags by 2 and hope Jimmy Cowan will show some All Black skills.
The Bay have a very good back line, but there  will be rain so I'm hoping they do not gel well in the rain.


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